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TUSCALOOSA, Ala. – After two consecutive record setting months,
home sales in Alabama slowed in September, down 14.2 percent from
August, according to figures compiled by the Alabama
Real Estate Research and Education Center at The University
of Alabama.
For only the third time this year, Alabama has seen a decline
from the previous month in the number of homes sold. The 4,396 homes
sold are still the fourth highest on record, making the possibility
of another record setting year still extremely high, according to
Dr. Leonard Zumpano, director of the center.
Average selling price decreased 9.0 percent to $122,823 while
supply increased to 6.2 months in September from 5.4 months in August.
“Year-to-date home sales in Alabama are up 21.4 percent over
the same time last year, with all areas now reporting higher year-to-date
numbers than last September. Statewide year-to-date average selling
price is up 4.6 percent; which is about a 6.1 percent appreciation
on an annual basis,” Zumpano said.
Zumpano said there are four records to report for September. Cullman,
Gadsden and Selma all set records for the number of homes sold in
one month, while Lee County set a record for highest recorded average
selling price.
Residential construction spending continued to increase in the
state in August, climbing 19.3 percent year-to-date over August
2002 to $2.4 billion, as tracked by F.W. Dodge Reports. The state
unemployment rate decreased to 5.5 percent, according to the Alabama
Department of Industrial Relations.
At the national level, the National Association of REALTORS®
reported that the number of existing homes sold increased 3.6 percent
in September to 6.69 million units on an annualized, seasonally
adjusted basis, also a new monthly record for the third straight
month.
Median selling price declined to $172,300, a decrease of 2.8 percent
compared to August of 2003, but has increased 9.1 percent since
September of 2002.
“Supply slightly decreased again to 4.3 months in September
from 4.6 months in August,” Zumpano said. “All of this
data points to a healthy housing sector at the national level. The
market for new homes also appears strong as the Commerce Department
reported that the sale of new homes are up 8.3 percent over September
2002, but down slightly from the previous month.”
Residential construction spending at the national level increased
slightly by 1.5 percent in August, the latest figures available,
to $460 billion on a seasonally adjusted, annual basis, according
to the U.S. Census Bureau.
The Consumer Price Index, the most popular gauge of inflation,
increased 0.3 percent again in September to 185.0 as tracked by
the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Producer Price Index for Finished
Goods, generally considered a leading indicator for inflation, rose
0.3 percent in September to 143.8, which suggests that inflation
still remains in check.
Mortgage interest rates increased 4.8 percent to 5.95 percent during
the month of September, but this didn’t seem to stop home
buyers, Zumpano said, pointing out that many homeowners may have
been encouraged to purchase the home more quickly to avoid rising
interest rates.
“Why the existing housing market in Alabama slowed last month
is a mystery, but one month does not make a trend, and year-to-date
home sales are still at record levels,” Zumpano said. “With
an improving economy, rising consumer confidence, and a recovering
stock market, there is no reason to suspect that the state’s
housing market will soften this year.”
The Alabama Real Estate
Research and Education Center is part of The University of Alabama’s
Culverhouse College of Commerce
and Business Administration. The UA business school, founded
in 1919, has been recognized repeatedly during the 1990s for offering
a high-quality, cost-effective education.
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