|
Alabama voters will get a second chance to remove racist language from the state's
constitution in 2005, and the revised version will be "overwhelmingly approved" during
a special referendum, predicts Dr. William Stewart, professor emeritus of political
science at The University of Alabama.
During November, voters narrowly defeated Amendment Two — which would have
removed the racist language — after concerns arose that added wording referencing
a right to public education could lead to a future tax increase without voter approval.
"Revived 'Amendment Two' legislation will be introduced promptly once the 2005
regular legislative session convenes," Stewart predicts. "There will be
strong opposition from African-American legislators to removing the right to public
education language. I predict, however, that ultimately a 'cleaned up' version of
this amendment will be approved by the assembly and put before the voters in a special
referendum some time in 2005. I believe that the revised segregation-expulsion amendment
will be overwhelmingly approved whenever it is proposed — if the language that
aroused fears of possible judicially-ordered tax increases is removed."
Stewart says another piece of legislation will also generate much attention in the
coming year. "I do expect a state constitutional amendment banning gay marriages
to be proposed during the 2005 Alabama regular legislative session," he said. "I
think that it will probably be placed on the 2006 primary ballot. However, whenever
the measure is placed on the ballot, it will pass by an overwhelming vote, just as
it passed back in November in all of the states in which it was voted on."
The veteran follower of state politics says while no aspirants will officially announce
their gubernatorial candidacy during 2005, it will become clearer who has their sites
set on occupying the governor's mansion. Look for Don Siegelman, Lucy Baxley, Tim
James, Roy Moore and some lesser known candidates to test the waters in the coming
year, but look for the state's incumbent governor, Bob Riley, to continue building
a broad base.
"Bob Riley will run for a second term," Stewart predicts. "He will
draw support from a broad spectrum of moderates, Republican and Democrat alike."
back to Educated Guesses 2005
|