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TUSCALOOSA, Ala. – Existing home sales in Alabama slipped
slightly during November, down 256 units from the previous month,
to 3,954, according to the Alabama
Real Estate Research and Education Center at The University
of Alabama.
October was the first month since June in which a home sales increase
was recorded, according to figures from the center. Although sales
were down in November, existing home sales were up 18.5 percent
compared to November 2003, and Alabama’s housing market is
still on track to set another record for 2004. On a year-to-date
basis, Alabama’s housing sales are up 15.7 percent from last
year at this time.
During November, the average number of days a house was on the
market rose slightly from 132 to 139. During the same period the
total number of homes listed for sale in Alabama fell from 24,845
to 24,111. At the current sales rate, this represents a 6.1 month
supply of homes in Alabama, a slight increase over the 5.9 month
supply in October. On a year-to-date basis, however, the supply
of existing homes is down 3.8 percent.
Alabama’s average selling price rose 5.3 percent from $130,387
in October to $137,294 in November. With the exception of October,
existing home prices have risen steadily since July, according
to the center. Average selling price is currently 15.1 percent
higher than it was in November 2003.
“While this does not bode well for housing affordability
in the fourth quarter, it does suggest that the housing demand
remains quite strong and supply tight,” said Dr. Leonard
V. Zumpano, director of the center and professor of finance.
Within Alabama, existing homes sold increased in eight of the
areas tracked by the research center, decreased in 12 of the areas,
and remained unchanged in one area. Average selling price rose
in 10 of the areas tracked by the research center and fell in the
remaining 11 reporting areas. Covington County, Dothan, Gadsden,
Marshall County, and the Wiregrass have each surpassed their highest
average selling price for the year.
In the southern region, existing home sales rose 1.8 percent from
2,780,000 in October to 2,830,000 in November (on an annualized,
seasonally-adjusted basis). November’s existing home sales
represent a 15.5 percent increase compared to November 2003. The
South’s average selling price rose by 2.3 percent from $166,200
in October to $170,000 in November. November’s average selling
price is 10.1 percent higher than the average selling price of
November 2003.
Nationally, according to the National Association of Realtors
(NAR), the number of existing homes sold rose 2.7 percent from
6,760,000 last month to 6,940,000 in November (on an annualized,
seasonally-adjusted basis). Existing home sales are 13.2 percent
higher this November than in November 2003. The national average
selling price rose 1.5 percent from $185,400 to $188,200 during
November, which was 10.4 percent higher than the same time last
year.
The market for new homes also showed some signs of weakness at
the national level. During November the National Association of
Home Builders reported that new home sales were down almost 12
percent from October, to 1,125,000 units sold. New home prices
also declined in November to $268,000 compared to $282,900 in October.
In Alabama, McGraw-Hill Construction reported that new residential
construction spending fell to the lowest level so far this year
to $268,427,000 in November.
While the housing market in both Alabama and the U.S. will probably
finish the year in record territory, Zumpano said there are some
signs that the market may slow during 2005.
“Very strong home price appreciation and slowly rising mortgage
interest rates have caused housing affordability to decline as
we ended the year. With the expectation that these trends will
continue into the new year, we look for the housing markets to
remain strong in 2005, but below the record levels we have seen
in the three previous years,” Zumpano said.
The Alabama Real Estate Research and Education Center is part
of The University of Alabama’s Culverhouse
College of Commerce and Business Administration. The UA business
school, founded in 1919, has been recognized repeatedly during
the 1990s for offering a high-quality, cost-effective education.
Alan J. Lloyd, research assistant, contributed
to this report.
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